Preseason Rankings
Green Bay
Horizon
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#240
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace81.3#8
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#139
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#322
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 15.5% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.1 15.2
.500 or above 28.6% 59.7% 27.5%
.500 or above in Conference 46.2% 69.8% 45.4%
Conference Champion 8.1% 19.8% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 3.7% 11.0%
First Four2.0% 1.5% 2.0%
First Round5.4% 14.5% 5.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Minnesota (Away) - 3.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 11
Quad 48 - 511 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 37   @ Minnesota L 70-89 4%    
  Dec 01, 2020 8   @ Wisconsin L 63-86 2%    
  Dec 05, 2020 186   Eastern Illinois L 83-84 50%    
  Dec 08, 2020 45   @ Marquette L 77-95 5%    
  Dec 12, 2020 64   @ Northern Iowa L 71-88 7%    
  Dec 19, 2020 272   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 85-80 66%    
  Dec 20, 2020 272   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 85-80 66%    
  Dec 26, 2020 121   @ Wright St. L 81-92 17%    
  Dec 27, 2020 121   @ Wright St. L 81-92 18%    
  Jan 01, 2021 199   @ Youngstown St. L 79-84 32%    
  Jan 02, 2021 199   @ Youngstown St. L 79-84 32%    
  Jan 08, 2021 243   Oakland W 80-77 61%    
  Jan 09, 2021 243   Oakland W 80-77 61%    
  Jan 15, 2021 245   @ Detroit Mercy L 85-88 41%    
  Jan 16, 2021 245   @ Detroit Mercy L 85-88 42%    
  Jan 22, 2021 227   Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-79 58%    
  Jan 23, 2021 227   Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-79 58%    
  Jan 29, 2021 242   @ Cleveland St. L 79-82 41%    
  Jan 30, 2021 242   @ Cleveland St. L 79-82 41%    
  Feb 05, 2021 295   IUPUI W 91-85 69%    
  Feb 06, 2021 295   IUPUI W 91-85 69%    
  Feb 12, 2021 167   Northern Kentucky L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 13, 2021 167   Northern Kentucky L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 19, 2021 216   @ Illinois-Chicago L 79-83 38%    
  Feb 20, 2021 216   @ Illinois-Chicago L 79-83 37%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.2 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 3.5 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.4 4.8 3.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 5.1 3.3 0.6 0.1 11.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.5 3.2 0.3 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.3 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.4 3.3 0.5 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 4.0 2.8 0.6 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.0 2.3 0.4 7.5 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.5 10th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.9 6.1 8.4 9.5 11.3 11.6 11.4 10.2 8.1 6.6 4.8 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.2% 0.6    0.5 0.0
15-3 83.3% 1.3    1.1 0.2
14-4 69.1% 2.0    1.4 0.5 0.0
13-5 45.8% 2.2    1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 20.5% 1.4    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-7 5.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 5.0 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 22.2% 22.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 69.6% 63.8% 5.8% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0%
16-2 0.6% 39.9% 39.7% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.3%
15-3 1.5% 33.4% 33.4% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 2.9% 26.8% 26.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.1
13-5 4.8% 17.6% 17.6% 14.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 3.9
12-6 6.6% 13.5% 13.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 5.7
11-7 8.1% 10.7% 10.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 7.2
10-8 10.2% 7.3% 7.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 9.4
9-9 11.4% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.0 0.5 10.8
8-10 11.6% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.1
7-11 11.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 11.1
6-12 9.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.5
5-13 8.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.3
4-14 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.1
3-15 3.9% 3.9
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.6 3.0 93.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%